Corporate Governance and Financial Systems Working Group

Explaining the Forward Premium Puzzle

Forward Premium Puzzle refers to the widespread empirical finding that the change in the spot price of an exchange rate is negatively related to its forward premium. We propose an ambiguity-based explanation to this puzzle in which spot price moves…

Rapid Advisory Response for SMEs: An Assessment of the SME Sector in Türkiye for project developed for  the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) and MoIT / KOSGEB (Small and Medium Enterprises Development Organization of Türkiye)

A preliminary data-oriented study for a validated algorithm for the classification SMEs of Türkiye according to various criteria, the outlook of their financial vulnerabilities, identification of systemic influence channels and the development of appropriate policies.

Decomposition of Time-Varying Risk Premia in Equity Markets

This study aims to document the time varying risk premia for market, size, value and momentum factors for Turkish equity market, using a sophisticated conditional asset pricing model and lay out the changing power of state variables in determining the…

Ambiguity, High-Frequency Data and Asset Prices

Ambiguity plays a significant role in decision making, yet its exact definition and measurement eludes researchers. This study takes a practical approach to view ambiguity as volatility of probabilistic distributions in financial markets and proposes to measure it using high…